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Gorkhmaz Imanov, Asif Aliyev : Fuzzy Linguistic Forecasting of Social Mobility



                    In addition, when the No.8 index adopts the equal weight, it is accordant with No.3.
                    Furthermore, if the value of p is 1, then No.8 takes the form of No.1; if the value of
                    p is 2, then No.8 takes the form of No.4. If we consider the welfare factor or ordinal
                    ranks, the No.8 can take the form of No.2 and No.5. As for what is optimal p, it
                    depends  on  the  researcher’s  point  of  view  about  the  income  mobility  since  the
                    mobility is multi-facet. In all, the index No.8 is similar to the formula proposed by
                    Van Kerm (2006), and it is a generalized form for many other indices.

                    In this study, we use mobility estimation mothodology used by J.P.Rodriguez and et
                    al. (2010) and apply it  in a country level.

                    Let  X  =  (   , … ,    )  be  the  initial  income  distribution  for  N  households.  Then
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                    equivalent  income  vector  X e  is  defined  through  dividing  money  income  by
                    equivalence (e) scale. Thus, for household i the equivalent income is defined:

                                                         
                                                                
                                                         =    (      )      (1)
                                                        

                    where  Ni    is  the  number  of  household  members,  and  e  is  the  equivalence  scale,
                    where 1 ≤ e ≤ Ni . It means that, the needs of a household grow with each additional
                    member but −    due to economies of scale in consumption – not in a proportional
                    way. Needs for housing space, electricity, etc. will not be three times as high for a
                    household with three members than for a single person. With the help of equivalence
                    scales each household type in the population is assigned a value in proportion to its
                    needs. The factors commonly taken into account to assign these values are the size
                    of household and the age of its members (whether they are adults or children). A
                    wide range of equivalence scales exist, but we consider only common methodology
                    developed by OECD . In the 2008 and 2011 publications of the Organization for
                    Economic  Co-operation  and  Development,  the  comparison  of  income  distribution
                    and  poverty  comparisons  across  countries  is  calculated  by  dividing  household
                    income    by     the   square    root    of    the   number     of    households.
                    (http://www.oecd.org/eco/growth/OECD-Note-EquivalenceScales.pdf)

                    It implies that, four-person houshold has needs twice as large as one composed of a
                    single person.

                    Thus,  we  consider  the  parametric  scale  proposed  by  Buhmann  et  al.  (1988)  and
                    apply OECD 2011 methodology of “square root scale”:

                                              e(   ) =    , 1 ≥     ≥ 0 ,     (2)
                                                         
                                                         
                                                    
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